Monday 11 March 2013

Zero Dark Thirty




Zero Dark Thirty isn’t just a film about manhunt of Osama Bin Laden. It is also story of Maya, a determined, gritty CIA operative whose life has only revolved around finding Bin Laden ever since she was recruited out of high school by the agency at Langley. It is a story of how conviction coupled with intelligence and talent help a person achieve most difficult of the goals. 

The movie does not follow course of a typical Hollywood action movie. It is devoid of any cinematic grandeur and is shot in a tone and tempo that makes it believable. Portrayal of both Maya and CIA is neither pure black nor white. It has many shades, as it so often happens in life.

Maya is an extraordinary talent, reason why she has been handpicked to be deployed in Pakistan, epic centre of terrorism. She can be described as HI Pot in HR lingo. Her expertise over behaviors and patterns of terrorist organizations, and ability of make sense out of it gives her respect of colleagues and the confidence to call a spade a spade.

How often have you seen a person with such a deep belief in their idea that they accuse their boss of acting in self interest when he refuses resources for the idea because he does not share the belief? How often do you see somebody reminding the boss every day that he is not able to move organizational machinery fast enough when the project is stuck in organizational bureaucracy? Such a person like Maya is so engrossed in their goals and so committed to the idea that they are indifferent to rubbing anybody on the wrong side. Achievement of extraordinary feat requires such fanatic dedication to the idea.

CIA like many big organizations is bundled in hierarchy, slowed by layers of control and supervision. Maya is walked into a conference room for a group meeting with CIA director. Since she was instrumental in finding the premise which harbored Bin Laden, she assumed her position on the centre table. Rather, she is directed to the chairs by the wall with her seniors eager to do all the talking.

The movie also implores a different angle to risk assessment. Normally benefits and risk of taking a decision is assessed. The National Security Advisor to the President was doing exactly the same when he was fixing percentages to the chances of Bin Laden being present in the safe house at Abbottabad. This is when George asks him “How do you evaluate risk of not doing something?”

We so often do not take decision because risk associated with it may be too high. Such decisions if taken, the consequences will be real. On the other hand, the consequences of not taking a decision are notional even when the notional value may be higher than if the decision had been taken. Similar disposition in behavioral economics refers to people's tendency to strongly prefer avoiding losses to acquiring gains as loss aversion. Some of the studies have suggested that psychologically losses are twice as powerful as gains i.e. loss of 100 rupees to a person will cause more dissatisfaction than a gain of 100 rupees will cause him satisfaction.

Planning however brilliant does not executes itself. Once it was decided to go ahead for this manhunt, flawless execution of the plan was necessary. Plan itself was audacious. Navy seal teams were to fly undetected, deep inside Pakistan territory from Jalalabad base in Afganistan and carry out the operation within 1 mile (oops 4221 feets) of Pakistantani Military Academy. Navy seals who were to carry out the mission were trained for similar kind of missions. Even when one of the helicopters which dropped them at the operation site crashed, there was a contingency plan in place. They went on to carry raid with the faith that the helicopter problem will be resolved by the mission coordinators. Detailed planning and preparation resulted in flawless execution.

The director, Kathryn Bigelow, has reserved her best for the end. Maya boards an empty plane after the operation is over. Vacuousness on her face and tears in her eyes captures the mood of the moment. She has lost goal and purpose of her life. This is the price Maya pays for her obsession.